Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1098 · BOS → MSP
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 8:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 35%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.