Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1581 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 1581 · DTW → IAH

departs 8:27 AM ET · arrives 10:26 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DTW that day

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1581 · DTW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?