Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1581
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1581 · DTW → IAH
departs 8:27 AM ET · arrives 10:27 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/12 15%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.