Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1622 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

DL 1622 · ORD → DTW

departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1622 · ORD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?