Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1832
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1832 · IAH → MSP
departs 2:23 PM CT · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.