Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2192 · SAT → SLC
departs 6:01 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.82 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.