Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2192 · SAT → SLC
departs 6:01 PM CT · arrives 7:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.