Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2208 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2208 · PHX → MSP

departs 11:48 AM MT · arrives 4:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MSP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2208 · PHX → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?