Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2558
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2558 · MSP → BOS
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 13%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 33%
Sat 10/17 26%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.