Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2580 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2580 · MSP → SAT

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 5:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2580 · MSP → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?