Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2591 · MSP → BOS
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 7:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Mon 10/12 37%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 36%
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±3 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.