Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2658 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2658 · MSP → SLC

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 4:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2658 · MSP → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?