Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2811 · SLC → DFW
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 5:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.67 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.