Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 2811 · SLC → DFW
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 5:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13 20%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.