Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1462 · IAH → MIA
departs 2:06 PM CT · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 41%
Fri 10/16 36%
Sun 10/18 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.20 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.