Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1577 · PHL → RSW
departs 6:19 AM ET · arrives 9:26 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.