Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2135
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 2135 · MIA → DFW
departs 2:29 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 27%
Sun 10/18 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.