F9 3018 · FLL → SJU

departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 3:34 PM AT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3018 · FLL → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?