Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3018
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
F9 3018 · FLL → SJU
departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 3:31 PM AT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 39%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sun 10/18 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 4,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.