Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
F9 3206 · DEN → IAH
departs 6:01 AM MT · arrives 9:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 13%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.