Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
G7 4526 · XNA → IAH
departs 7:08 AM CT · arrives 9:07 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 15%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
XNA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.