Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
G7 4526 · XNA → IAH
departs 7:06 AM CT · arrives 9:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 15%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from XNA are usually not late
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.