Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

KOREAN AIR · FLIGHT KE 6 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

KE 6 · LAS → ICN

departs 12:04 AM PT · arrives 5:00 AM KST

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KE 6 · LAS → ICN

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICN?