Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 4210 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

KG 4210 · DEN → AIA

departs 11:37 AM MT · arrives 12:48 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at AIA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AIA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into AIA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

AIA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 4210 · DEN → AIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AIA?