MQ 3891 · CHS → DCA

departs 11:27 AM ET · arrives 1:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3891 · CHS → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?