Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5139 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5139 · DCA → PNS

departs 3:32 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5139 · DCA → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?