tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5191 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 8:12 PM ET (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

OH 5191 · PHL → YYZ

departs 7:38 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.