Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5458 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:05 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5458 · DCA → IAH

departs 1:44 PM ET · arrives 4:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5458 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?