Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5501 · DCA → ALB

departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 6:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ALB that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ALB (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5501 · DCA → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?