Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5543 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 10:35 AM ET (19 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

departs 9:59 AM ET · arrives 11:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from PHL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5543 · PHL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?