Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5591 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5591 · MHT → CLT

departs 11:53 AM ET · arrives 2:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at MHT that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ 11am departures from MHT are usually not late

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.19 in

CLT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5591 · MHT → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?