Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5634 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5634 · DCA → CRW

departs 5:29 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at CRW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRW?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CRW

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CRW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5634 · DCA → CRW

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRW?