Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

OH 5640 · DSM → DFW

departs 9:52 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5640 · DSM → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?