Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3559 · SLC → XNA
departs 8:48 PM MT · arrives 12:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 10%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
XNA is prone to delays
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.67 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.