Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3559 · SLC → XNA
departs 8:47 PM MT · arrives 12:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 10%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.88 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.