Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3837 · SBN → DTW
departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 9:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 13%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 10%
Sun 10/18 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.