Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3847 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OO 3847 · DTW → BUF

departs 2:03 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±5 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at BUF that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3847 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?