Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3853
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3853 · SLC → SBA
departs 3:00 PM MT · arrives 4:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 9%
Thu 10/15 8%
Fri 10/16 9%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SBA is prone to delays
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
SBA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.