Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3912 · DLH → MSP
departs 4:24 PM CT · arrives 5:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave DLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DLH that day
↓
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at MSP that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DLH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.