Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3964
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 3964 · DTW → MBS
departs 4:36 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MBS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MBS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MBS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MBS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MBS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.