Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4147
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 4147 · MSP → YWG
departs 3:04 PM CT · arrives 4:41 PM CDT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Mon 10/12 15%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 14%
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at YWG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YWG?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YWG (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.