Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 4782 · XNA → IAH
departs 11:58 AM CT · arrives 2:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 27%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.