Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 4939 · MAF → PHX
departs 9:20 AM CT · arrives 9:23 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
MAF is prone to delays
↓
9am departures from MAF are usually not late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.