Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5232 · ORD → PWM
departs 7:18 AM CT · arrives 11:06 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PWM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PWM?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PWM that day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PWM (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.