Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5232 · ORD → PWM
departs 7:17 AM CT · arrives 11:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 16%
Sun 10/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PWM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PWM?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PWM that day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
PWM (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.