Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5254 · IAH → AGU
departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 12:24 PM CST
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at AGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AGU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AGU
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.47 in
AGU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.