Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5254 · IAH → AGU
departs 10:48 AM CT · arrives 12:07 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 21%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AGU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at AGU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AGU?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AGU
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AGU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.