Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 5531 · OKC → IAH
departs 1:43 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/12 19%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.