Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5814 · IAH → ASE
departs 9:50 AM CT · arrives 11:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ASE at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.