Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5884 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:07 AM MT (20 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OO 5884 · RAP → DEN

departs 8:38 AM MT · arrives 10:02 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RAP that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5884 · RAP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?